News commentary and predictions of political trends and what the future holds

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A diary of the politics of the future and their consequences.

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ISIL

Is it possible to grow up believing that others are not as worthy as you are. That there is a difference between you and others based on what you believe? Of course it is.

Most young people attach to one thing or another to their souls as they negotiate with the world. For some it is sport or pursuit of a mate. For others is a religious belief. The developing mind seems prone to go off on terrible tangents. Youth can act with a severity that no other age would likely tolerate or appreciate. The trick is to grow up successfully despite those who would lock us into teenaged angst through our whole lives. These include pederastic predators, certain cults and religious schools as well as dangerous sports and war.

Is ISIS a terrorist organisation, a revolution or simply a creation of the CIA? It probably is all three in its relationship with the external world. But internally it seems to operate like a cult with: hidden language, secrets and revelations, fervent worship of a figurehead, fear, a central philosophy to believe in and a powerful adhesive force that locks people into its grip.

By creating freedom fighter armies the warmongers are able to assist in proxy wars but creating an armed force has a certain danger. They may treat populations as the enemy as would appear to be the case with the ISIL terrorists. By proclaiming a caliphate they seek legitimacy in the modern world by using its technology to enslave and intimidate people.

They arose out of Iraq and Syria and have installed themselves, murdering thousands and enslaving entire populations to their teenaged whims. Their violence is extraordinary and completely out of place in modern civilisation. Are they any worse than Bashir Assad and his civil war and devastation of Syria? They are, because they are fighting a war they want to take to the world. And the world does not want to live like that so resistance is inevitable.

However that speaks of a future, at the present they control much of Iraq and Syria.

Religion and Extinction

We are different to any other species in that we have evolved what we call economics, science of extending survival. Or is it a massive inter-generational war that the current political generation are guilty of, increasingly responsible for causing environmental collapse.

Why do we measure progress by growth? When we solve that one, and measure progress with an economics that includes compounding interest for any future consequence of our indulgence.

Only then we can call ourselves good Christians or good Muslims or good Jews. We remain greedy and primitive in our mutual interests. Why think like this?

Part of the lesson of certain matters remaining secular and out of the control of the driving faith or the possessors of property or the military – but that the ultimate control must remain honestly in the hands of the people. So we have countries for that. But faith is a personal matter and your path to your saviour or prophet is a relationship between your self and something all powerful. Therefore when you are praying together it is as though a casting of individual threads to your personal heaven is a revelation to the self, not to the army, not to the workforce, not to the merchants, the bankers or even the holy ones we listen to preach their secret messages in sermons to the initiated. In all religions there seems to be a strata that pulls people up – spirituality is a wonderful thing, don’t get me wrong.

Having to take sides for your whole life is the commitment of belief. But the essence of individuality is the thing. It is the most important and elusive thing. Your thread can vibrate within a group but it can also find its own pattern. It does not matter. If we align beliefs into destructive paths then as a group we start to consume that which we have no right to, we take that we have to leave alone. The first lesson in The Book of Genesis was not to take the forbidden fruit from the tree of knowledge or die. Not to take the irreplaceable fruit means we must consider requirements of future life in our consumption.

The ways in which competing religions have interpreted this basic tenet of their own belief is astounding. The destruction of species is wanton, selfish and will result on our own death.

These words or wisdom are drowned by the clash of battle as we fight for our set of beliefs. But this fundamental exists. If we sow extinction, then we will become extinct. I am just not sure if today’s political science really gives a damn about the future.

Europe and the UK

There seems to be a view that independence from Europe would make Britain great again, it’s a slippery slogan that slides into the argument about whether Britain wants to be a part of the great big trading giantarama that dictates rules and far too many of them for the average person to even vaguely assimilate, that demands payment from its richer parts (us) to poorer parts (them) and all sorts of control freakery that we, as British isoloationists are more prone to shun rather than indulge in its richness and familiarity, for although they drive on the other side and can speak other languages we share values about quality and variety, about culture and difference, our borders are around vastly different entities, it is not a federation of equals. It is a school room full of egotistical achievers who are being forced by the rules to enjoy what we have and share rather than fight over who controls resources or who dominates. In a fragmented world, the British would no longer be part of the economic machine and from the outside there is more distance to the secret advantages of being part of it. Okay so we develop the trans Atlantic connection.

America leads the world in harnessing power from the environment with progress or at least it was. But the portion of China that experiences mercantile growth with the world at its door is that there are no longer barriers of trade. Now they too can compete in the global nightmare doom machine rush to an uninhabitable world. Or they and we start to think ahead. If Obama’s legacy has been to have saved the lives of the many at the cost of the few in most things. Like a deadly wasp he roams the landscape choosing who must be subjected to death rays from outer space. The point is that we can compete to find solutions to the energy issue – if we are going to extract motive and electrical power without polluting the atmosphere we are going to survive for many more generations than if we introduce cellular damage that interventions against the tide of nature can not effect with any hope of economic sustainability.

The value of European integration and the blurring of lines within the union is not one of cultural shift so much as reality of representation. But absorbing an adequate cosmopolitan mix of each other, by allowing free movement, the European wars have stopped. The freedoms the EU affords to individual nations seems a matter of debate and contention.

But the freedom from despotism that the likes of the more extreme right and left wing adventures seem to carry us; the freedom of being dominated by a repressive culture: these rights have value and gravity. Hence we tend to vote down the middle, FPP guarantees a compromise government when there is no outright majority you get what the majority has voted against as government.

The Greenhouse Treaty

China and America have agreed to targets for reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2025 for America, and 2030 for China. On the scale of problems, China is a significant player, with a much larger population competing for resources as economic growth strides into the greener parts, its lungs, pollution is rife, significant and horrendous to the increasingly aware population. It is they who are served by a mutual accord of the current world leaders. Both have already made history.

China’s pollution is evidence of a population growing too fast. Economic growth is reflective of a certain attitude to risk. Countries are examples to each other of how to do it or how to do it all wrong. Overheated economies destroy our habitats. The solution is not war, economic war or invasion. It is much easier than that.

According to World Bank figures for 2010 – 2011, developed nations afford to include the exponential cost of environmental damage, on the index the UK is about 20. China is 60. But compare that to Botswana, at 199. The problem is not China. It is the misuse of resources and the rape of land by too many competitive hungry humans. We have to evolve to stop killing our future.

We can do this by simply changing our thinking. Our economic system needs to evolve into one that is geared to reward economic contraction. Our religious beliefs need to encompass a new spiritual path that includes a respect for all life and ones descendants who are as much us as we are our ancestors.

Iain Duncan Smith

It is up to us.

Every adult has a vote, and enough judgement. One does not have to be socialist to see that this the Minister for Social Welfare is a liability to the welfare of all people. He thinks he has decreased unemployment by making life impossible for the many who rely upon welfare due to their own unemployment. Job seekers get sanctioned when they do not attend interviews, but too many injustices point toward a cruel and heartless system that has let people die.

Iain Duncan Smith’s IT project to consolidate benefits under the brand “Universal Benefit” is a bit like a flat tax, in that it should reduce administration costs. This IT project is failing to deliver, exceeding costs and seems out of control.

Any well meaning citizen can fail, and the security provided by a welfare system prevents what we see on the streets of cities, what we hear about in the taxed bedrooms of the disabled and deaths due to the unfair Job Centre sanctions. This social experiment is like a child torturing flies.

The Conservatives and their role in this government have not improved the economic lot of the majority and it is up to us, the majority of fair minded people from both sides of the political divide to ensure that they do not continue after 2015. Increased wealth is no good if you live in a nation of corpses.

Todays comments

A few Disturbing Trends with our comments in The Guardian:

7 Aug 2014

Boris Johnson’s bid for parliamentary return in 2015 leaves Tories divided

The true blue conservative denies they are running until the finish line is in view, their competitors unprepared, relaxed and busy elsewhere can then make a huffing and puffing dash for the main prize.

Salmond rallies SNP backbenchers after independence debate

If the UK had a government which paid a little more than latent lip service to the parts of the country that are not London, I really wonder if the Scots would fight for independence. The popularity of this possibly economically difficult endeavour is an indictment of the Coalition and the unfair lot dealt to the many to enrich the very few.

Democracy will finally defeat that act of “mentalism”. But the question, what options do we really have? That question is the emotional argument that precedes this revolution.

Of course we may be “better together”, but the majority have to ask “better for whom?”

NIESR says economic recovery slowing after weaker manufacturing figures

I fear that like the previous government’s folly with the city, and the horrors of the 70s recessions, that it is “shock” that suddenly causes fragile recovery to be history and disaster to be the sounding board for electability. It is “old thinking” that is still leading economic planning and reactivity to timebombs that manufactures “heroes”.
In other words you are so brilliantly right. Open your business to the world. Dependence upon “economic growth” (based on the value of assets) is simply not getting us anywhere.

Sorry, George but increasing London property prices is not economic growth. You got to create industries, cause people to invest in and start new ventures, be willing to take risks.
Worrying about interest rates and the resale value of your nest egg stultifies imagination and reduces the rationale for business growth. It is not just investment bankers having dosh, it is the actual activity that seems to be faltering.

6 Aug 2014 – on Martin Rowson’s cartoon on Lady Warsi’s resignation

Being “right minded” seems to be a qualification. Or is that encoded tory propaganda or merely ukip splashing about in puddles?

Or that vacancy leading the Liberal Democrats, he may have to resign also.

…governments that pendulum swing between building and destroying systems – how much waste that does that create? Democracy under First Past the Post is truly the most inefficient system, especially when it is polarised between opposite sets of values. Proportional representation is more effective as they get to be far less adventurous as their mandate is less total.

The English Government

The English Government is a coalition of the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democrats, we know them as the ConDems.

Here is a good example of why, video featuring a speech by Labour MP for Hampstead and Kilburn, Glenda Jackson.

And a more recent speech regarding the treatment of the vulnerable.

Bilderberg turns 60

Bilderberg turns 60 and hosts its next 3 day meeting in Holland in its 60th year.

Here is a list of attendees.

EU Elections

The European Parliament is a government body that decides upon the laws that join our people together. Issues like human rights. It is infected by “protest parties” who are only there to act as dead weight opposition but what is what achieving other than making the government of the EU less effective?

A strong UK voice in the European Parliament is a no brainer. Of course we need the best representation possible and make an effort to make the whole of Europe more and more prosperous.

Pollution

Pollution threatens all life. Man made pollution is the result of the industrial revolution and growth. Or it is the result of criminal expansionism?

Pollution is the addition of artificial byproducts from unclean industrial activity to a natural environment, too often with unforeseen consequences, or worse, known but hidden consequences. One of the pollutants we continue to add to the precious atmosphere is CO2. Unfortunately for us, there are many others. In the short term, we are most threatened by the consequences of CO2, but who knows what other accumulations of poisons in the food chain may cause breaks and starve us to death first.

For example, our chemical warfare on “pests” that seems to have a side effect of bee eradication, may be the end of us before lower Miami is fully under-water from sea rising with the melting ice-covers of Antartica and Greenland. That is ice above the land not, which when it is water will displace the coastline and reshape the British Isles. Is that how much we care about our countryside?

See also:
George Monbiot – Why we couldn’t care less about the natural world

Captain Sunshine