News commentary and predictions of political trends and what the future holds

Archive for April, 2012

Democratic Evolution

April 23, 2012

The French Republic is democratic – like the Republic of India – meaning it has a large number of candidates standing for a multitude of views dictating self rule.

The English First Past the Post democratic method mean that the only way to be elected is to form a massive party to represents a trends of ideas – usually a serving one side of a dichotomy; which has evolved two vastly powerful parties that shun independent views to allow for domination by class – a pendulum swing between capital and labour – gradually alternating directions.

Asserting that the benefit of the populations’ final authority defeating a developing trend or the abuse of power or a developing ineffectualness of the best that one or the other of these schools of thinking can produce. When one is in power, the other is preparing a new batch of leaders.

Another form of government is the selective capitalism of China hardly benefiting a vast population of traditional self-sustaining farming. Ironically, it has evolved an extreme aristocracy – a bubbling caldron of capitalist ideals inside a massive feudal population that feeds itself.

The weakness that the traditional Westminster based Western Governments, (USA and UK) have is this modernist limited duality. If one side of the argument is correct, then every other is (with contempt) to be assumed incorrect. Limiting the potential for adaptation.

Proportional representation is a method that includes new voices into the management of the affairs of a country. The reason we maintain countries per se is that allows us to organise in different ways. War can be made a thing of the past by recognising that it is not race or even territory that makes wealth – all those are is the imposition of rule over people. Wealth is a measure of accumulated activity versus need.

We experiment to experience different forms of governance. Traditions are a part of this but without change and variety our national barriers remain economic barriers. War is the imposition of another system upon a population. It is bound to eventually fail as assimilation is a false objective – as we adapt to environments by necessity – that we adapt to ideology is not as efficacious in producing the spectrum of social norms – as is the necessity of getting on with those who live around you.

War imposes brute force and eradication. Democracy can evolve a stronger form of government.


Economic Recovery

April 16, 2012

A consumer driven economy is a tougher proposition for risk but efforts of the Government is driven by the needs of the consumer in an attempt to build confidence for risk takers they are stripping bits of skin from the hide of nearly everyone by a) providing a corporate tax rate that is perceived as “being cut” therefore attracting capital investment, although so far results are questionable at best, and b) not adjusting the 40% rate of income tax so the pool of those affected in a 5% inflation rate economy, broadly increasing the tax take of the many for the benefit of a very few who could otherwise contribute to the society enjoyed by the people they employ.

Working conditions are host to much time over maybe 30 years or so of our lives. Working in inhumane sweat factories or unhealthy conditions is a tax on the flesh of those bringing up the children whose random distribution of intellect and opportunity may or may not intersect. It is the meeting of the intelligent children with increased opportunity that can provide the competence for a better tomorrow. Short changing education by effectively placing an advertising business between quality vs quantity equations – decisions that affect our trend in nature.

The problem with non-interventionist governments is that they tend to be the more interventionist in consequence due to the austerity they believe will balance the books in our favour sucking the confidence producing pheromones that do excite demand. You are not driving a vacuum cleaner more efficiently by putting more fluff on the ground so you feel it is cleaning more effectively.

More succinctly, the increase of demand without the balance of utility, is the enslavement of everyone. We have left and right wings for good reasons, society is more complex than an equation or a formula. The National Health is important as a sign of the very human value – diversity. We are the one species that is aware of the value of it. It is democratic to value each human being equally, but to reward them in a consequential way, and what eats at the heart of consumer confidence is hearing how bankers must be rewarded with amounts and tax avoidance by companies taking advantage of our labour is a sign that we as consumers are simply consuming the wrong things.

Why deal with an organisation that reduces our national savings? Our pride as a country is a pride in qualitative values, British Made used to be a mark that inspired confidence. We achieve this via actions not dangling carrots in front of the already greedy entitled few. That they control the public levers of wealth to their private benefit in a disproportionate way should provide them with an opportunity to aid the treasury knowing it was at least providing for the health of all with equanimity.

It is that covenant of looking after one another that is evaporating as consumers are being bled dry on both fronts – as inflation is descending (artificially raised anyway by an increase in VAT, so you have to examine the trend)


The Nuclear Roulette Table

April 13, 2012

America declaring war on Iran because it may be developing nuclear weapons is a war without precedent or meaning. MAD is total faith in an endgame scenario. Iran would be extremely stupid to get a bomb, but then look who is in the club of the stupid. Gambling is stupid and the stakes are so high it would be robbing a future in the same way that the USSR collapsed and the economies of the West appear to be in terminal tailspin. Nuclear proliferation is the game with no winner like that one with a revolver, five bullets and four players.

Nuclear proliferation is an expensive shield and humanity hides under a shadow of total annihilation for idealogical enforcement or redundant residual racism? The world does not want a nuclear Iran, nor the tens of thousands of these weapons pointed at each other. Nuclear proliferation is an extremely expensive path.


Police Racism

April 4, 2012

The Met has a culture of racism. It is not to be tolerated, now that it has been proven to exist by a 21 year old turning on the recording function of his mobile phone.

This is the primary cause of disenfranchisement that led to the London Riots. There has been a lot of talk about the various causes but it was a police shooting of an unarmed black youth in Tottenham that started the protest which erupted into opportunistic rioting and looting in ensuing days, as the police were caught flat footed. They were unable to contain the violence that they were the primary cause of – extraordinary incompetence.

Justice is a balance. It is not achieved by force.